053
WTPZ25 KNHC 072031
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
2100 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 100.9W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 10.4N 103.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 11.1N 106.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 11.8N 108.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.5N 110.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 101.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
303
WTPZ24 KNHC 072031
TCMEP4
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
2100 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.0W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.0W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 119.6W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.8N 122.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.2N 127.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.3N 130.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 15.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 120.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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