Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 579 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 292033
 TCDEP3
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
 200 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015
 
 Deep convection associated with the depression is becoming less
 organized and now consists of a nearly linear band through the
 eastern and southeastern part of the circulation.  The initial
 intensity remains 30 kt based on Dvorak CI numbers from TAFB and
 SAB.  North-northwesterly vertical shear of 10-15 kt is expected to
 diminish during the next 24 hours, but the circulation is moving
 into a drier air mass and over lower oceanic heat content values.
 Degeneration into a trough is expected by 36 hours based on the
 latest global model guidance.  Although not explicitly indicated in
 the forecast, the depression could become a remnant low before
 dissipation occurs if it can't maintain organized deep convection.
 
 The depression appeared to accelerate suddenly earlier today but has
 leveled out at a motion of 265/14 kt.  A low-level ridge to the
 north should keep the cyclone moving at this motion until
 dissipation, and the NHC track forecast follows the GFS-ECMWF
 consensus.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  29/2100Z 16.6N 135.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  30/0600Z 16.5N 137.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  30/1800Z 16.3N 140.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
  36H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Berg
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for EIGHT-E

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: , 17 2014 - 1841 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman