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 482 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 290833
 TCDEP3
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
 200 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015
 
 Microwave data show that the depression continues to be sheared
 with the low-level center located to the northwest of a patch of
 deep convection. Dvorak estimates from both TAFB and SAB support
 keeping the depression at 30 kt at this time. Although the shear is
 forecast to decrease, the depression is moving toward a dry and
 stable environment. Consequently, the NHC forecast calls for
 dissipation in about 48 hours. This is consistent with the trend of
 the global models and the intensity consensus. In fact, global
 models depict the cyclone as a westward moving trough by 48 hours.
 
 The depression is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 10 kt.
 Because the depression is forecast to weaken and become a shallow
 cyclone, it is expected to be steered westward by the prevailing
 low-level flow until dissipation.  There are no important changes to
 the previous forecast.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  29/0900Z 16.9N 132.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  29/1800Z 16.9N 134.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  30/0600Z 16.9N 136.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
  36H  30/1800Z 16.7N 140.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
  48H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Avila
 
 
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