876 
 WTNT43 KNHC 302049
 TCDAT3
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
 500 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
 
 Satellite images indicate that the depression remains disorganized.
 The low- and mid-level centers are not well aligned, with
 convection continuing only sporadically near the center.  The
 initial wind speed remains 30 kt.  Despite the lack of
 strengthening, the environment appears conducive for some
 intensification eventually over the next couple of days while the
 depression moves near the Gulf Stream in light-to-moderate shear.
 The intensity forecast is reduced a little in the short term to
 account for the current disorganized structure, then no change was
 made to the remainder of the intensity forecast. The system should
 become an extratropical low in 2 or 3 days before the cyclone
 dissipates within a frontal zone.
 
 The cyclone has been drifting recently, but it should start a slow
 north-northeastward motion by tonight as it enters the mid-latitude
 westerlies.  The mid-latitude flow then increases, which should
 cause the depression to accelerate northeastward.  Model guidance is
 tightly clustered, and little change was made to the previous
 forecast.
 
 Model guidance indicates the system is nearing its closest point of
 approach to the Outer Banks.  We have elected to continue the
 Tropical Storm Warning for this advisory, but this could be lowered
 tonight if a more consistent motion away from the coast becomes
 established.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  30/2100Z 34.4N  75.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  31/0600Z 35.0N  74.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  31/1800Z 36.3N  72.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
  36H  01/0600Z 38.3N  69.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
  48H  01/1800Z 41.0N  63.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
  72H  02/1800Z 45.0N  49.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  96H  03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Blake