366 
 WTNT41 KNHC 192031
 TCDAT1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  34
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
 500 PM AST FRI SEP 19 2014
 
 Satellite imagery indicates that Edouard consists of a large but
 tight swirl of low-level clouds.  Since the cyclone has been absent
 any deep convection for more than 12 hours, Edouard is being
 declared a post-tropical cyclone at this time.  A blend of the 1800
 UTC TAFB Dvorak CI and Final-T numbers suggests an initial intensity
 of 35 kt, which is in basic agreement with a morning ASCAT pass.
 Post-tropical cyclone Edouard should continue moving over cooler
 waters and in an environment of strong northwesterly wind shear.
 Thus, additional weakening is expected during the next day or so
 prior to Edouard becoming extratropical in about 36 hours when it
 merges with a front.
 
 Although the center of the cyclone jogged southeastward earlier this
 morning, it has since resumed an eastward motion at a faster forward
 speed or 090/06.  Now a shallow feature, Edouard should accelerate
 eastward on the north side of a low-level ridge of high pressure
 during the next 24 hours.  The track should then bend southeastward
 and southward around the flow associated with a mid-latitude cyclone
 over the northeastern Atlantic. The track forecast is basically an
 update of the previous one, only shifted slightly to the left to be
 in line with the TVCA multi-model consensus.
 
 This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
 on Edouard. Additional information on this system can be found in
 High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
 AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  19/2100Z 39.5N  37.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  12H  20/0600Z 39.4N  36.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  24H  20/1800Z 39.0N  33.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  21/0600Z 38.0N  31.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  48H  21/1800Z 36.3N  30.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  72H  22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Kimberlain/Huffman