904 
 WTNT25 KNHC 030848
 TCMAT5
  
 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
 0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2016
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 *PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA
 BORDER.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CABO GRACIAS A DIOS WESTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.
 * NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
 COMPLETION.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH OR HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE BAY
 ISLANDS OF HONDURAS LATER THIS MORNING.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  83.7W AT 03/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
 12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  60SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  83.7W AT 03/0900Z
 AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  83.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.5N  85.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.0N  87.9W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.5N  90.3W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.1N  92.4W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N  96.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  83.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN