960 
 WTPZ44 KNHC 050845
 TCDEP4
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER  27
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042014
 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 05 2014
 
 Douglas has once again lost its deep convection, likely now for the
 final time.  The small patch of showers and thunderstorms dissipated
 around 03Z and Dvorak intensity analyses from SAB and TAFB suggest
 that Douglas has weakened to a tropical depression. With expected
 continued cool water and a stable atmosphere along its track, the
 cyclone should become a remnant low shortly.
 
 The depression is moving northwestward at 8 kt.  A low to
 mid-level subtropical ridge to its northeast will continue to
 steer Douglas toward the northwest or west-northwest at a slightly
 slower speed for the next two days until dissipation.  The track
 forecast is again nudged to the north of the previous advisory and
 is based upon the multi-model consensus TVCE.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  05/0900Z 23.1N 119.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  05/1800Z 23.9N 120.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  06/0600Z 24.9N 121.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  06/1800Z 25.8N 122.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  07/0600Z 26.5N 124.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Landsea