192
FONT14 KNHC 231442
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 178N 336W 34 74 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
12 178N 336W 50 16 7(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
12 178N 336W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 191N 365W 34 1 58(59) 11(70) X(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71)
24 191N 365W 50 X 19(19) 8(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
24 191N 365W 64 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 203N 393W 34 X 5( 5) 42(47) 9(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58)
36 203N 393W 50 X X( X) 16(16) 5(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
36 203N 393W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 216N 422W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 28(36) 12(48) 1(49) X(49)
48 216N 422W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18)
48 216N 422W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 245N 475W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 10(41) 2(43)
72 245N 475W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) 1(17)
72 245N 475W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 275N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 7(36)
96 275N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13)
96 275N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 305N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 11(26)
120 305N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
120 305N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 55 55 60 65 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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