543
FONT14 KNHC 230844
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
0900 UTC WED AUG 23 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 169N 322W 34 70 10(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
12 169N 322W 50 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
12 169N 322W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 182N 350W 34 1 58(59) 9(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 182N 350W 50 X 14(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
24 182N 350W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 196N 379W 34 X 4( 4) 40(44) 9(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
36 196N 379W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
36 196N 379W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 210N 408W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 26(34) 11(45) X(45) X(45)
48 210N 408W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14)
48 210N 408W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 240N 465W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 10(40) 1(41)
72 240N 465W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16)
72 240N 465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
96 275N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 8(35)
96 275N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13)
96 275N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 300N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 10(25)
120 300N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
120 300N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 50 50 60 65 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
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