225
FONT14 KNHC 221453
PWSAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 146N 281W 34 22 10(32) X(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
12 146N 281W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 146N 281W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
24 161N 307W 34 X 32(32) 10(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
24 161N 307W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 161N 307W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 176N 334W 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 10(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
36 176N 334W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 176N 334W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 192N 363W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 12(42) X(42) X(42)
48 192N 363W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 192N 363W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 220N 425W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 10(39) 1(40)
72 220N 425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15)
72 220N 425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
96 250N 480W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 7(33)
96 250N 480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12)
96 250N 480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 280N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20)
120 280N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
120 280N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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