358
FONT14 KNHC 220222
PWSAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 129N 251W 34 23 10(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
12 129N 251W 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 129N 251W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 141N 277W 34 1 29(30) 10(40) X(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41)
24 141N 277W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 141N 277W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 159N 306W 34 X 2( 2) 31(33) 10(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45)
36 159N 306W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 159N 306W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 175N 334W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 11(41) 1(42) X(42)
48 175N 334W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
48 175N 334W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 205N 384W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 9(38) 1(39)
72 205N 384W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15)
72 205N 384W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
96 240N 445W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 7(32)
96 240N 445W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
96 240N 445W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 270N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19)
120 270N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
120 270N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for DEBBY
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|
