Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 931 
 WTNT24 KNHC 180242
 TCMAT4
 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
 0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2007
  
 AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
 PENINSULA OF HAITI...FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO
 PORT-AU-PRINCE...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM
 PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
  
 AT 11 PM AST...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITS
 DEPENDENCIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND ALL TROPICAL STORM
 WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE
 LESSER ANTILLES...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST
 KITTS...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
 REPUBLIC BORDER.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
 TO COMPLETION.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
 ISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  THESE WARNINGS
 WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
 THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
 HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
 THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THE
 PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.  A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
 WESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
 MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  65.9W AT 18/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
 64 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT.......100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.
 12 FT SEAS..375NE 210SE  75SW 375NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  65.9W AT 18/0300Z
 AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  65.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N  68.4W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.4N  71.7W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.3N  75.0W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.2N  78.4W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N  85.5W
 MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
 50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 22.5N  91.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  97.5W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  65.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for DEAN

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman