802 
 WTNT24 KNHC 172038
 TCMAT4
 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
 2100 UTC FRI AUG 17 2007
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITS
 DEPENDENCIES.  THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
 TONIGHT.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
 ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
 ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST
 KITTS...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  THE
 WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
 THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN
 REPUBLIC BORDER.  A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO
 BEATA TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
 HAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.
  
 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
 HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
 HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
 WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE
 PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
 STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
 WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE AND
 DOMINICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST.
 LUCIA...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
 THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
   
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  64.5W AT 17/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 120SE  60SW 160NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE  60SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  64.5W AT 17/2100Z
 AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  63.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N  67.4W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 34 KT...160NE 120SE  60SW 160NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.4N  70.8W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 34 KT...160NE 120SE  75SW 160NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.3N  74.0W
 MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 34 KT...160NE 120SE  75SW 160NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N  77.0W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 34 KT...160NE 120SE  80SW 160NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N  84.0W
 MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 50 KT