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 041 
 WTNT25 KNHC 290234
 TCMAT5
 TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
 0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
 FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
 ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
 WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
 PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
 THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
 AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  75.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.7N  73.8W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.5N  70.1W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.0N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 47.3N  58.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...250NE 300SE 150SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 51.5N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...210NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 53.5N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 56.0N  14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  74.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 
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