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 075 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 260833
 TCDEP5
 
 Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number  10
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052018
 200 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018
 
 The last bit of convection occurred around 0600 UTC, consisting of
 cloud tops to -30C to -35C. This allowed TAFB to provide a Dvorak
 satellite current intensity (CI) estimate of 30 kt. This was enough
 to still classify Daniel as a tropical depression. Since that time,
 however, the convection has eroded significantly and cloud tops have
 warmed to only around -15C. Weakening is expected during the next
 couple of days as the small cyclone moves over SSTs less than 24C
 and also ingests more stable, cold-air stratocumulus clouds.
 Degeneration into a remnant low pressure is expected later this
 morning, with dissipation is forecast by 48 hours. The next advisory
 could easily be the last forecast required for this system.
 
 The shallow cyclone is moving west-northwestward at 7-8 kt. Now that
 Daniel has become embedded within the low-level easterly trade wind
 flow, the cyclone and its remnants should move westward at around 10
 kt until dissipation occurs in a couple of days.  The official
 foreast track is just an update and extension of the previous
 advisory track, and closely follows the consensus track models HCCA
 and TCVE.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  26/0900Z 19.9N 119.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  26/1800Z 20.1N 120.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  27/0600Z 20.1N 122.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  27/1800Z 20.0N 124.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Stewart
 
 
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