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 603 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 251433
 TCDEP5
 
 Tropical Storm Daniel Discussion Number   7
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052018
 800 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018
 
 Convection associated with Daniel is gradually diminishing as the
 cyclone moves over cooler water, with the remaining convection just
 to the west or southwest of the center.  The initial intensity is
 reduced to 35 kt based on various subjective and objective
 satellite intensity estimates.  Daniel should continue to weaken
 over sea surface temperatures of 23-24C, with the system expected
 to drop below tropical storm strength in the next 12 h and to
 degenerate to a remnant low by 36 h.
 
 The cyclone is starting its expected left turn with the initial
 motion now 315/8.  A combination of a mid- to upper-level low to
 the west-southwest and a low- to mid-level ridge to the north
 should cause Daniel to turn west-northwestward to westward during
 the next 36 h, with the westward motion continuing until the
 cyclone dissipates.  The new track forecast is similar to the
 previous forecast and is close to the center of the guidance
 envelope through 48 h.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  25/1500Z 19.0N 117.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
  12H  26/0000Z 19.6N 118.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  26/1200Z 20.1N 120.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
  36H  27/0000Z 20.2N 122.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  27/1200Z 20.3N 124.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  28/1200Z 20.0N 128.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven
 
 
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