199 
 WTPA41 PHFO 112031
 TCDCP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP042012
 1100 AM HST WED JUL 11 2012
 
 DANIEL CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 13 KT AND THIS GENERAL
 MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
 SYSTEM REMAINS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE
 SYSTEM SITUATED TO ITS NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST
 AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK AND LIES NEAR THE MIDDLE
 OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
  
 DANIEL HAS BEEN VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR SEVERAL HOURS...THUS IT
 HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
 IS SET AT 30 KT AND THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA
 IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS LIE ALONG
 THE FORECAST TRACK...INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO
 COUNTERACT ANY POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. DANIEL IS EXPECTED TO
 CONTINUE WEAKENING INTO A POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT
 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS MOST
 INTENSITY GUIDANCE WITH SLOW DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  11/2100Z 15.4N 142.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  12/0600Z 15.3N 144.4W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  12/1800Z 15.2N 147.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  13/0600Z 14.8N 151.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  13/1800Z 14.5N 154.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  14/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BURKE