076
FOPZ15 KNHC 240832
PWSEP5
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
0900 UTC MON JUL 24 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 2 5( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 2(18)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 165N 1412W 34 95 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 165N 1412W 50 74 9(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
12 165N 1412W 64 39 13(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 169N 1428W 34 24 57(81) 6(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 169N 1428W 50 3 44(47) 9(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
24 169N 1428W 64 1 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
36 173N 1445W 34 2 27(29) 30(59) 8(67) 2(69) X(69) 1(70)
36 173N 1445W 50 X 6( 6) 21(27) 5(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
36 173N 1445W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
48 177N 1462W 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 17(44) 9(53) 1(54) X(54)
48 177N 1462W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
48 177N 1462W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 185N 1500W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 21(25) 6(31) 1(32)
72 185N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 185N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
96 195N 1540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17)
96 195N 1540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
96 195N 1540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 210N 1585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
120 210N 1585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 210N 1585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 75 65 60 55 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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