995 
 WTNT43 KNHC 220836
 TCDAT3
  
 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032012
 500 AM AST FRI JUN 22 2012
  
 CHRIS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS TRANSITIONING TO A POST-TROPICAL
 CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE
 STORM IS NOW DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND ONLY CONSISTS OF A TIGHT
 SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED
 TO 45 KT...FOLLOWING THE DOWNWARD TREND IN THE DVORAK
 CLASSIFICATIONS. CHRIS IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND WILL
 LIKELY COMPLETE ITS TRANSITION TO A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER
 THIS MORNING.
  
 THE CYCLONE HAS TURNED TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE LATEST INITIAL
 MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/12. CHRIS...OR ITS POST-TROPICAL
 REMNANT...IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE AROUND A LARGER
 EXTRATROPICAL LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED N MI TO ITS
 SOUTH. THIS LARGER LOW WILL ULTIMATELY ABSORB WHATEVER IS LEFT OF
 CHRIS IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE
 GUIDANCE PROVIDED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
  
 THE 34-KT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN MODIFIED BASED ON AN OSCAT PASS
 AROUND 0200 UTC.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  22/0900Z 44.8N  44.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
  12H  22/1800Z 44.3N  45.7W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  24H  23/0600Z 43.2N  45.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  36H  23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI