328 
 WTNT23 KNHC 050230
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
 0300 UTC SAT AUG 05 2006
  
 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
 DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE
 EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
  
 INTERESTS IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF CHRIS.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  74.0W AT 05/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  74.0W AT 05/0300Z
 AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  73.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N  75.8W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.2N  78.3W...NEAR NORTH COAST OF CUBA
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.8N  81.0W...INLAND OVER CUBA
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.3N  83.8W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.0N  89.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.5N  94.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N  99.5W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  74.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB