823 
 WTNT23 KNHC 040240
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
 0300 UTC FRI AUG 04 2006
  
 AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED
 THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS
 AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
 ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
 ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.
  
 AT 1100 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
 STORM WATCH FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 AT 1100 PM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN
 COAST OF HAITI FROM LA MOLE ST. NICOLAS EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN
 BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
 IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE
 NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD TO SAMANA. A TROPICAL STORM
 WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
 WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  69.3W AT 04/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  69.3W AT 04/0300Z
 AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  68.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N  70.9W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.4N  73.4W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N  76.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N  78.9W...INLAND OVER CUBA
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N  84.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.5N  89.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 25.0N  94.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  69.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB