683
WTPZ24 KNHC 140842
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
0900 UTC THU JUL 14 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 135.8W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 135.8W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 135.2W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.0N 137.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 139.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.9N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.2N 144.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.9N 149.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.5N 153.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 158.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 135.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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