269
WTPZ24 KNHC 122033
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
2100 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 129.0W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.5N 135.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.3N 137.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.0N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 129.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
435
WTPZ25 KNHC 122033
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016
2100 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.3W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.4N 115.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.6N 118.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.2N 122.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 109.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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