489
WTPZ24 KNHC 110831
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
0900 UTC MON JUL 11 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 124.5W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 124.5W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.9W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.1N 126.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 127.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 131.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 21.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 124.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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