953
WTPZ24 KNHC 091444
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
1500 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 117.2W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 117.2W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.6W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.8N 123.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.9N 125.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 117.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for CELIA
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|