183 
 WTPZ44 KNHC 282035
 TCDEP4
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
 200 PM PDT MON JUN 28 2010
  
 ALL CONVECTION WITH CELIA HAS VANISHED AND ONLY THE SKELETAL REMAINS
 OF THE SYSTEM ARE LEFT BEHIND.  CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN GONE QUITE
 LONG ENOUGH FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW...BUT THIS
 IS PROBABLY THE PENULTIMATE ADVISORY ON CELIA.  THE INITIAL WIND
 SPEED IS LOWERED TO 30 KT...AND A SLOW DECREASE IN WINDS IS
 EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER COOL WATERS.  THE DEPRESSION
 IS DRIFTING EASTWARD...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN
 UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BLENDED WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL
 CONSENSUS. 
 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      28/2100Z 15.1N 123.8W    30 KT
  12HR VT     29/0600Z 15.1N 123.6W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24HR VT     29/1800Z 15.1N 123.4W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36HR VT     30/0600Z 15.1N 123.4W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48HR VT     30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE