528 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 202049
 TCMEP4
 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042004
 2100Z TUE JUL 20 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 118.3W AT 20/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 80NE  40SE   0SW  80NW.
 12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 118.3W AT 20/2100Z
 AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.8N 119.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.4N 120.8W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.9N 122.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 127.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 131.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 134.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 118.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 $$