578 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 162035
 TCDEP3
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
 200 PM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012
  
 THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH NEAR THE CENTER
 OF THE DEPRESSION...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT WINDS ARE
 MOST LIKELY NEAR 25 KNOTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
 REMNANT LOW TONIGHT. 
 
 THE DEPRESSION IS STILL ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
 WEATHER WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS FOR THE NEXT
 COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
 AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
 SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
  
 THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO FIND...APPEARS TO BE MOVING
 TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS. THE STEERING
 FLOW HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN...AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY MOVE
 LITTLE FOR A DAY OR SO UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  16/2100Z 17.9N  99.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  17/0600Z 18.0N 100.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  17/1800Z 18.0N 101.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  18/0600Z 18.0N 101.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA