125 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 161525
 TCDEP3
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER  11...CORRECTED
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
 800 AM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012
 
 CORRECTED TO REFLECT DISSIPATION AT 72 HR
  
 THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO HAS DISRUPTED THE CLOUD PATTERN
 OF CARLOTTA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS ARE
 DECREASING RAPIDLY. HOWEVER...THE DEPRESSION IS STILL ACCOMPANIED BY
 A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
 TORRENTIAL RAINS AND A FEW SQUALLS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
 COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS
 A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
  
 THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO FIND...APPEARS TO BE MOVING
 TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. THE STEERING
 FLOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND THE DEPRESSION OR ITS REMANTS SHOULD
 SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY. THE SYSTEM MOST LIKELY WILL MEANDER OVER
 SOUTHERN MEXICO UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A FEW DAYS.
  
   
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  16/1500Z 17.5N  99.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  17/0000Z 18.0N 101.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  17/1200Z 18.0N 101.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  18/0000Z 18.0N 101.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  18/1200Z 18.0N 101.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA