285 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 160837
 TCMEP3
  
 HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
 0900 UTC SAT JUN 16 2012
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
 AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  98.4W AT 16/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE  30SE  25SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 25NE  50SE  50SW  20NW.
 34 KT....... 40NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  98.4W AT 16/0900Z
 AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  97.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.1N  99.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  70SE  60SW  20NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.6N  99.8W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.8N 100.3W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.7N 100.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.4N 100.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.4N  99.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.4N  99.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  98.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART