562 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 140834
 TCMEP3
  
 TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
 0900 UTC THU JUN 14 2012
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BARRA DE TONALA TO PUNTA MALDONADO
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  93.3W AT 14/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  93.3W AT 14/0900Z
 AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  93.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 11.4N  94.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.8N  95.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.3N  96.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N  97.2W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.6N  99.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 16.8N 100.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.3N 100.0W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N  93.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART