646 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 162039
 TCMEP3
 
 HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA MEXICO
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.4W AT 16/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.4W AT 16/2100Z
 AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 104.2W
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.2N 104.9W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.9N 105.6W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.6N 106.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.2N 106.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.6N 107.4W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 104.4W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BERG