Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 019 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 160844
 TCMEP3
 
 HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 103.9W AT 16/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
 64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 103.9W AT 16/0900Z
 AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 103.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.8N 104.6W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.5N 105.4W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.2N 106.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.8N 106.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.6N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 21.4N 107.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 103.9W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for CARLOS

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman