692
WTPZ24 KNHC 151433
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 129.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 10.9N 132.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.3N 134.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.6N 136.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 147.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 12.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 129.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
693
WTPZ25 KNHC 151433
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052009
1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 115.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 119.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.7N 122.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 143.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 115.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
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