Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 692 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 151433
 TCMEP4
 HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
 1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
 AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 129.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.5N 130.7W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 10.9N 132.4W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.3N 134.3W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.6N 136.6W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.0N 142.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
 34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 147.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 12.0N 153.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 129.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
  
 
 
 693 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 151433
 TCMEP5
 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052009
 1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......100NE 150SE   0SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE   0SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
 AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 115.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 119.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.7N 122.2W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.6N 125.3W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 143.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 115.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for CARLOS

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman