Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 519 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 121459
 TCMEP4
 HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
 1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 121.0W AT 12/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 121.0W AT 12/1500Z
 AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 120.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 10.5N 122.7W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 10.7N 125.1W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.9N 127.3W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.2N 129.6W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.0N 134.0W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 13.0N 138.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 142.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 121.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for CARLOS

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman