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 017 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 152035
 TCDEP3
  
 Post-Tropical Cyclone Bud Discussion Number  25
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
 300 PM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018
  
 Bud has been without organized deep convection since around 0600
 UTC, and is now a remnant low. An earlier ASCAT-B pass around 1640
 UTC showed an area of 30-35 kt winds well east of the center off the
 coast between Altata and Topolobampo, but some of these winds could
 have been topographically enhanced. The initial intensity remains 30
 kt for this final advisory. The remnant low should gradually weaken
 and then dissipate shortly after landfall.
  
 ASCAT data and visible imagery suggest that the initial motion is a
 bit to the left of previous estimates, with the current estimate
 355/09. The remnant low should continue moving northward through
 dissipation between a mid-level ridge to the east and an approaching
 longwave trough to the west.
  
 Although the low-level circulation of Bud is expected to dissipate
 on Saturday, the associated remnant moisture plume is expected to
 spread northward and northeastward into northwestern Mexico and the
 southwestern U.S. through Saturday, resulting in significant
 rainfall and possible flash flooding across those areas. For further
 information on the heavy rainfall threat, please see products issued
 by your local weather service office.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  15/2100Z 25.9N 110.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  12H  16/0600Z 27.3N 110.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
  24H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 Forecaster Brennan
  
 
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