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 022 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 140833
 TCMEP3
 HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
 0900 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 125.9W AT 14/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
 50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 225NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 125.9W AT 14/0900Z
 AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 125.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.1N 127.9W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.9N 130.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.5N 133.1W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.8N 135.7W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.0N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 146.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.0N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 125.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 
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