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 121 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 110841
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
 0900 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
 AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 111.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.2N 112.3W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.8N 113.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.2N 115.1W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.8N 117.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 121.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 124.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 128.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 111.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 
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