Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 255 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 022038
 TCDEP2
 TROPICAL STORM BORIS DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022008
 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2008
  
 BORIS IS WEAKENING QUICKLY.  A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 14Z SHOWED NO
 BELIEVABLE VECTORS HIGHER THAN 50 KT.  CLOUD TOPS HAVE CONTINUED TO
 WARM TODAY AND THE EYE HAS FILLED IN.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
 LOWERED TO 50 KT BASED ON THE QUIKSCAT PASS.  WITH SSTS NO HIGHER
 THAN 24C ALONG THE PROJECTED TRACK...A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND IS
 EXPECTED UNTIL BORIS DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW IN 48 HOURS...OR
 LESS.
 
 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/8.  AS BORIS DECAYS OVER THE
 NEXT DAY OR TWO...A RETURN TO A WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK IS
 EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO MORE LOW-LEVEL STEERING.  THERE HAS BEEN
 LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS IN BEST
 AGREEMENT WITH A BLEND OF THE UKMET...MEDIUM BAM...AND SHALLOW BAM. 
 THESE MODELS ARE FASTER THAN MOST OF THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE. 
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      02/2100Z 16.9N 127.8W    50 KT
  12HR VT     03/0600Z 17.3N 128.8W    40 KT
  24HR VT     03/1800Z 17.5N 129.8W    35 KT
  36HR VT     04/0600Z 17.4N 130.8W    30 KT
  48HR VT     04/1800Z 17.2N 132.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     05/1800Z 16.5N 134.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  96HR VT     06/1800Z 15.5N 138.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 120HR VT     07/1800Z 14.5N 141.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
 $$
 FORECASTER FRANKLIN
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for BORIS

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman