905 
 WTNT42 KNHC 031435
 TCDAT2
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
 1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 03 2016
 
 Convection associated with Bonnie has decreased this morning as the
 center moves over sea surface temperatures of less than 25C east
 of the Gulf Stream.  The initial intensity remains 30 kt based on
 satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB.  While little
 change in the wind speed is forecast during the next 48 hours,
 Bonnie should degenerate into a remnant low in 24 hours or less due
 to the affects of the cold water and increasing vertical wind
 shear. The system is then expected to weaken to a trough by 72
 hours.
 
 The initial motion is now 080/10.  The cyclone should move
 generally eastward along the southern edge of the westerlies with
 some increase in forward speed until dissipation.  The new forecast
 track lies near the multi-model consensus.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  03/1500Z 35.9N  72.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  04/0000Z 36.1N  69.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  04/1200Z 36.0N  66.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  05/0000Z 35.6N  63.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  05/1200Z 35.2N  59.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven