179 
 WTNT23 KNHC 010257
 TCMAT3
 
 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
 0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND DOMINICA.
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
 ST. LUCIA.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...
 CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
 THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
 WATCH FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR MARTINIQUE FRIDAY
 MORNING.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BARBADOS
 * ST. LUCIA
 * DOMINICA
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUERTO RICO
 * VIEQUES
 * CULEBRA
 * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
 THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  55.5W AT 01/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  55.5W AT 01/0300Z
 AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  54.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N  58.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.5N  61.4W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.1N  64.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.9N  67.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N  73.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 26.8N  75.2W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N  74.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  55.5W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART