Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 954 
 WTNT21 KNHC 041440
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 1500 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS REPLACED ALL REMAINING TROPICAL STORM
 WATCHES WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
  
 ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.  THE TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING FOR WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
 VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
 * NANTUCKET
 * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
 * NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
 * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND
 NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  73.4W AT 04/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  21 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  80SE  40SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......100NE 110SE  70SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 240SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  73.4W AT 04/1500Z
 AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  74.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.2N  70.1W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N  66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
 34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 46.1N  63.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE 200SE 160SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 48.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 55.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 300SE 240SW   0NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 59.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 62.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N  73.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN
  
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for ARTHUR

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: , 17 2014 - 1841 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman