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 101 
 WTNT21 KNHC 040853
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAPE COD HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD
 TO WOODS HOLE.
  
 THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
 DISCONTINUED.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
 * PAMLICO SOUND
 * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
 VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
 * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 * NANTUCKET
 * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
 * ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
 * ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
 AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NEW
 BRUNSWICK...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  75.3W AT 04/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  20 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  80SE  60SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......100NE 110SE  90SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  75.3W AT 04/0900Z
 AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  76.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.4N  72.3W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 42.2N  68.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 45.5N  64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 47.5N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE 180SE 240SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 53.5N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 59.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 63.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  75.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
  
 
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