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 734 
 WTNT21 KNHC 040301
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 0300 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR.
  
 ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST
 OF NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE...ALL OF
 NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND...AND ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD
 ISLAND.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
 * PAMLICO SOUND
 * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CAPE FEAR TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
 * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
 VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
 * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 * NANTUCKET
 * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
 * ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
 * ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
 AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NEW
 BRUNSWICK...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  76.6W AT 04/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  16 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......110NE 130SE  80SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  76.6W AT 04/0300Z
 AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  77.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 36.7N  74.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
 34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.0N  70.3W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
 34 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 43.7N  66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
 34 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 46.2N  62.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 51.5N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 57.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 60.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N  76.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 
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