Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 982 
 WTNT21 KNHC 021453
 TCMAT1
 
 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 1500 UTC WED JUL 02 2014
 
 CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET
 NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING
 PAMLICO AND EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
 THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN
 DISCONTINUED.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BOGUE INLET TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
 * PAMLICO SOUND
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/
 VIRGINIA BORDER
 * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 * PAMLICO SOUND
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  ANY
 DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE LEFT...OR AN INCREASE IN THE
 FORECAST SIZE OF ARTHUR WOULD LIKELY REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF
 HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ALL OR PART OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING
 AREA...PRIMARILY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...SHOULD MONITOR THE
 PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR.
 
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
 INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
 LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  79.1W AT 02/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  79.1W AT 02/1500Z
 AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  79.1W
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 30.1N  78.9W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 31.5N  78.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.5N  76.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 36.0N  74.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 42.0N  66.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 47.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 51.5N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  79.1W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for ARTHUR

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: , 17 2014 - 1841 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman