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 904 
 WTNT21 KNHC 020251
 TCMAT1
  
 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 0300 UTC WED JUL 02 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FORT PIERCE TO FLAGLER BEACH
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WATCH
 AREA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR. TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES WILL
 LIKELY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  79.2W AT 02/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  79.2W AT 02/0300Z
 AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  79.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 28.6N  79.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 29.7N  79.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 31.0N  78.7W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.8N  77.3W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 37.5N  72.0W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 43.0N  64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 47.5N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  79.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 
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