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 366 
 WTNT21 KNHC 010840
 TCMAT1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
 0900 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FORT PIERCE TO FLAGLER BEACH
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
 SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  79.3W AT 01/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  79.3W AT 01/0900Z
 AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  79.2W
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.9N  79.4W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.5N  79.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.5N  79.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.8N  79.1W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 34.3N  76.4W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 39.5N  69.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 44.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  79.3W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
 
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