472 
 WTNT21 KNHC 291443
 TCMAT1
  
 TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012011
 1500 UTC WED JUN 29 2011
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TUXPAN
 NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM TUXPAN NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
 BAHIA ALGODONES
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  95.7W AT 29/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT.......120NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  95.7W AT 29/1500Z
 AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  95.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.2N  96.6W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.2N  97.7W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N  98.8W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.8N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  95.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH/BEVEN