058 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 042040
 TCDEP1
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012015
 200 PM PDT THU JUN 04 2015
 
 Although the low-level center of Andres remains intact, organized
 deep convection has been absent from the center for more than 12
 hours.  In addition, what minimal convection remains is displaced a
 considerable distance to the northeast of the center.  On this
 basis, Andres is being designated as a remnant low, and advisories
 are being terminated at this time.  Gradual weakening of the vortex
 is expected to continue during the next couple of days due to
 unfavorable environmental conditions, and global models show Andres
 degenerating into an open trough by Saturday.  The NHC forecast
 calls for dissipation between 48 and 72 hours.
 
 The initial motion estimate is 095/03.  Now a shallow system, the
 remnants of Andres are expected to be primarily steered by the
 combination of low-level ridging to the northwest, along with a tug
 by the large circulation of Hurricane Blanca to the east.  This
 should induce a slow east-southeastward to southeastward motion
 until complete dissipation.
 
 For additional information on this remnant low please see High
 Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
 AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  04/2100Z 20.1N 124.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  05/0600Z 20.0N 124.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  05/1800Z 19.7N 123.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  06/0600Z 19.1N 123.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  06/1800Z 18.7N 122.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Kimberlain