135 
 WTNT22 KNHC 160246
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
  
 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
 ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
 ISLANDS WHICH INCLUDES MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
 ST.KITTS...NEVIS AND ANGUILLA.  AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
 ST. EUSTATIUS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE
 REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.5W AT 16/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.5W AT 16/0300Z
 AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  50.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.7N  54.1W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N  57.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N  61.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N  65.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.5N  73.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 22.5N  78.9W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N  83.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  51.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA